The folks at OnlineCollege.org alerted me to their newest post, 10 Biggest Predictions for the Future of Book Publishing. I'm listing their predictions below with my take on how they apply to children's books (click on the link to read the whole article with additional links):
1. Vanity presses and self-publishing will swell in popularity. As it gets easier (and cheaper) to self-publish, more authors are choosing that route. With children's books, authors who enjoy marketing (especially visiting schools and communicating with their readership via blogs and web sites) find they prefer to cut out the middle man of the traditional publisher. But before you self-publish, do your homework. Know exactly what you'll need to do to promote yourself, and figure out some creative ways to reach your market.
2. More writers and artists will experiment with motion comics. Don't know what I'm talking about? Read this. Motion comics are a natural evolution of the whole comic book and graphic novel craze.
3. There will be little need for gargantuan publishers. The big houses are becoming less relevant as authors and illustrators find new ways of directly reaching the consumer. In children's books, I believe this opens the doors to innovative new formats, subjects, and a redefining of what a "book" is. Kids are more open than adults to trying new things, and they'll embrace whatever clever artists and entrepreneurs create next.
4. More people will be authors. See numbers 1 and 3 above. In the children's/YA field, more teens will be authors in the coming years.
5. eBooks will only get more popular. The genie's out of the bottle on this one. And when you're talking about illustrated books for kids, the eBook format opens up all sorts of possibilities for multimedia and interactive experiences. Now that eBooks have been around a few years, the data should comfort those who predicted the print book was dead: eBook sales have been found to actually increase sales of the print version of the same book.
6. Authors will grow even more media-savvy. Authors don't have a choice, especially when your audience is kids and teens who have grown up on computers. They don't think twice about Googling an author, checking out a new book's web site, or blogging about their favorite reads or recommending titles to their friends on Facebook. Authors who aren't comfortable on these platforms will be left out of the loop.
7. Memoirs expand as a genre. This has always been a more adult-centered genre, but it makes sense that memoirs geared to middle grade and young adult readers will catch on. Kids are more aware of the world and different cultures than in past generations, and accounts of interesting lives by all types of people should be welcomed in schools and libraries.
8. Books will no longer have a minimum length. Word count and page length in children's books are more important than adult books, because we're dealing with shorter attention spans and different reading abilities. However, I do believe that the strict page lengths of picture books will be changing as it becomes easier to print books more cheaply, and as more picture books are produced in electronic formats. This should be good news for authors and illustrators who feel confined by the traditional 32 pages.
9. eBook readers will move further away from E Ink. In other words, eBook readers no longer have to closely mimic the printed page. This is good news for illustrated and interactive children's books, and even novels that can include links, animation and audio within the text to enhance the storytelling experience.
10. More young adult books will hit the shelves. The proliferation of YA titles in the last few years, along with the arrival of new young adult imprints at the big publishers, speaks to the market share teen readers command. This is a generation that loves to read and talk about their favorite books, along with a generation of parents who read what their kids are reading. Who knows when this bubble will burst, but it's sure to be here for a while.
Thanks, OnlineCollege.org, for another thought-provoking article!




